Newbie 688 - Game Over, Mafia Wins!
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springlullaby Mafia Scum
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springlullaby Mafia Scum
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I'm annoyed by Mastin's post, he does sound not very committed.
Mastin, it makes no sense to sign up for a game and say that you'd rather do something else and it is kinda impolite to people who are committed to the game. (Lol, do I sound like a reprimanding parent or what?)
Right now I don't see you as scum, but your vision of the game seems bad. Townies are expected to defend themselves to the best of their ability because they are expected to be able to explain the townie POV behind their actions, failure to do so is justifiably viewed as scummy. Refusing to defend yourself on purpose when you are town is generally a bad idea too because it is akin to ask for town's implicit trust - trust that town has no reason to give you don't explain yourself, which in return makes a scum vote against you very easily justifiable.
Sometimes it is the townie's prerogative to refuse to defend themselves because they see no valid case against them, but even then, it is up to the townie to point it out if it is the case.
In clear, if you think that refusing to defend yourself will help catch scum, you're dead wrong, and you are in fact effectively handing out your lynch to scum with little risk of retribution for the reasons I delineated above.
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That said,Vote Scheherazade.
I didn't like that analysis, plenty of words but very little content. Give me quite a 'look I'm so town' feel.
I have to say here that I have, fortunately, missed the entire 'deleted by mod' exchange, so the reason of her voting Panamon eludes me, but why bring it up again in her vote since others have no mean of knowing what she's on about?
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WeatheredClown: (0/5)
Crysnia: (0/5)
mrfixij: (1/5) WeatheredClown,
Mastin: (3/5) Moses le fou, mrfixij, Panamon
Moses le fou: (0/5)
Scheherazade: (1/5) springlullaby
Panamon: (2/5) Scheherazade, Crysnia,
springlullaby: (0/5)
orangepenguin: (0/5)
Not Voting: (2/9) Mastin, orangepenguin,
With 9 alive, it's 5 to lynch!
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springlullaby Mafia Scum
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I'm not too keen on policy lynches for policy lynching sake in Newbie games, with 9 players, barring successful doc saves, it's lylo with 2 mislynches - and more often than not you've got a bigger proportion of newbtowns who don't know how to avoid scummy pitfalls than 2/9.
Right now I'm not a fan of the Mastin wagon, it's indeed always dangerous to underestimate a newbie player's awkwardness/cunning, but my read on him is newbtown atm. I'll note here that I would be half so lenient if this wasn't a newbie game. Meantime, I suggest everyone look up common logical fallacies and especially WIFOM so we can avoid that in the future.
Also, Mastin, do you have anything to say about the game and who you would like to lynch?
@mrfixij, do you have any suspect beside Mastin?
@Panamon, can you point out what you mean by 'scummy vibe' concerning Mastin's post?
@Schez, the way I understood it, the deleted exchange was your explanation for why you are apparently acting differently from the game Panamon cited - you brought up the rule breaking content, not the other way round. Here, I'm not asking about the content the mod already deleted, but I do question the alignment of a person who is willing to break the rule for the purpose of justifying themselves. You see, it fit under the 'trying too hard' category in my books.-
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springlullaby Mafia Scum
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Scheherazade wrote:@springlullaby: I was acting differently because the circumstances were different. I only discussed it because mrfixj expressed explicit interest in hearing my response (post 30), and I'll note that until that point, the discussion of other ongoing games was not prohibited by volkan (post 34). Not only was the content not "rule-breaking," but both Panamon (post 29) and mrfixj brought it up first. If it's "trying too hard" to answer a question raised by two other players, then I am guilty. Get your facts straight, especially if you're going to be wrinkling your nose at other peoples' lack of commitment.
I don't see what my saying that Mastin not wanting to play after signing up doesn't make sense has anything to do with it, but my point is that the deleted content, and I surmised the rule breaking content, was posted by you. Even if people asked, it was your choice to break the rule, or not to.
You see, the only times I was ever tempted to toe the line were when I was scum.
You saying that it wasn't in the rule is an interesting point. From what I have seen of you, in this and another game I'm in with you, and what you said yourself, I think you are a pretty decent player. But as such, I'm not sure I want to give you as much room as someone I perceive as totally new to this and I'm thinking that you couldn't have missed the fact that revealing critical informations from another game is bad form, wether it is explicitly stated in the rules or not.
What do you think?
Now, I did ask you a question in post 52. Would you care to answer it? Or have you retracted your original reason for suspicion in favour of this new line of reasoning?
It isn't a new line of reasoning, your first analysis post was IMO very neutral about everything, I always suspect players who post when they make a type a lot of word to say nothing much, because it tells me that they really want to look town. That and the way you brought the mod deleted content in fits in the same category I think.
Note here that I don't think 'trying too hard' is a damning scumtell, but enough to be going on with atm.
As for your questions, I thought they were rhetorical, but I'll answer since it doesn't seem to be the case afterall.Scheherazade wrote:
@springlullaby:
As to your lack of content observation, I may have to appeal to you here as an IC. I summarised information posted so far and gave as much of my interpretation as I feel comfortable discussing. In it, I flagged those I thought need to post a defence. I raised questions I had. Did you want me to try to provide motives? What if I accidentally provided a defence for scum that wasn't already there?
No, you have missed my point, I'm not asking you to provide motive, I'm saying that posting to express mixed feeling on pretty much everyone is kinda pointless. See above.
It had content enough to make mrfixij and weathered clown warn me against showing my hand. Assuming theirs weren't general warnings, and not implicit confirmations that I had content, what is it that they and I have missed? Content vs. fluff?
Oh but you see, in a way I'm agreeing with mrfixij and weathered clown. When I say that your post doesn't have much content, it means not much content that is useful to the town. From a town perspective there is not much point in posting what you think of everyone - especially when it is not much and not asked of you expressively - so early, because it make reactive game from scum easier, but from a scum perspective, it shows that you've done your homework. What do you think?-
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springlullaby Mafia Scum
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EBWOP with proper tags, bolded mine.
Scheherazade wrote:@springlullaby: I was acting differently because the circumstances were different. I only discussed it because mrfixj expressed explicit interest in hearing my response (post 30), and I'll note that until that point, the discussion of other ongoing games was not prohibited by volkan (post 34). Not only was the content not "rule-breaking," but both Panamon (post 29) and mrfixj brought it up first. If it's "trying too hard" to answer a question raised by two other players, then I am guilty. Get your facts straight, especially if you're going to be wrinkling your nose at other peoples' lack of commitment.
I don't see what my saying that Mastin not wanting to play after signing up doesn't make sense has anything to do with it, but my point is that the deleted content, and I surmised the rule breaking content, was posted by you. Even if people asked, it was your choice to break the rule, or not to.
You see, the only times I was ever tempted to toe the line were when I was scum.
You saying that it wasn't in the rule is an interesting point. From what I have seen of you, in this and another game I'm in with you, and what you said yourself, I think you are a pretty decent player. But as such, I'm not sure I want to give you as much room as someone I perceive as totally new to this and I'm thinking that you couldn't have missed the fact that revealing critical informations from another game is bad form, wether it is explicitly stated in the rules or not.
What do you think?
Now, I did ask you a question in post 52. Would you care to answer it? Or have you retracted your original reason for suspicion in favour of this new line of reasoning?
It isn't a new line of reasoning, your first analysis post was IMO very neutral about everything, I always suspect players who post when they make a type a lot of word to say nothing much, because it tells me that they really want to look town. That and the way you brought the mod deleted content in fits in the same category I think.
Note here that I don't think 'trying too hard' is a damning scumtell, but enough to be going on with atm.
As for your questions, I thought they were rhetorical, but I'll answer since it doesn't seem to be the case afterall.Scheherazade wrote:
@springlullaby:
As to your lack of content observation, I may have to appeal to you here as an IC. I summarised information posted so far and gave as much of my interpretation as I feel comfortable discussing. In it, I flagged those I thought need to post a defence. I raised questions I had. Did you want me to try to provide motives? What if I accidentally provided a defence for scum that wasn't already there?
No, you have missed my point, I'm not asking you to provide motive, I'm saying that posting to express mixed feeling on pretty much everyone is kinda pointless. See above.
It had content enough to make mrfixij and weathered clown warn me against showing my hand. Assuming theirs weren't general warnings, and not implicit confirmations that I had content, what is it that they and I have missed? Content vs. fluff?
Oh but you see, in a way I'm agreeing with mrfixij and weathered clown. When I say that your post doesn't have much content, it means not much content that is useful to the town. From a town perspective there is not much point in posting what you think of everyone - especially when it is not much and not asked of you expressively - so early, because it make reactive game from scum easier, but from a scum perspective, it shows that you've done your homework. What do you think?-
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springlullaby Mafia Scum
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mrfixij wrote:
It could be me being blind and having a non-functioning brain at 1:00 in the morning, but I fail to see where we agree with you. If anything, from what I've seen, you're agreeing with a previously expressed sentiment of mine.springlullaby wrote:Shez, it puzzles me that you are agreeing with what I said so readily. My being an IC doesn't mean I'm automatically town. I could have ulterior motives.
The same goes to mrfixij.
Also, saying that you could have ulterior motives is the obvious statement of the century. As soon as a player grasps the basic element of mafia, (s)he is aware that scum is going to have ulterior motives. Since the town doesn't know who scum is, every player could have said ulterior motives. The real question is, do you or don't you?
If I didn't know better I'd say that you're almost trying to hint at your position this early in the game. That, or you're saying that the aforementioned agreement which I can't find anywhere is a slight scumtell in our direction, in which case you should be a little more upfront, don't you think? Or, as a third option, you're simply calling it a null-tell, which is useless for town to hunt down scum.
When I say you agreed with me I refer to the fact that you voted Schez apparently on my lead, whereas when you first pointed out Schez's post being lacking of content (or in your words, giving too much away), you didn't vote for her.
What do you think of Schez exactly?
Hm, I don't like much your answer here, I believe it constitutes a drastic change in tone from your last post which was much more on the 'appeasing' side. This is scummy because scum have very often difficulties in maintaining a consistent character.Scheherazade wrote:@springlullaby: Even if you're mafia taking advantage of a weak post I made, I'm somewhat culpable because I gave you that opening. When it's appropriate to contradict you and say "no, that post had lots of content" I will. If I could improve, then why pick a fight with you when you could be town trying to help rather than mafia?
Either way, I'm keeping our exchange in the back of my mind. If you do anything else that strikes me as slightly off, I'll remember this. Don't think I've swallowed it whole.
So far you are the one who is pinging my scumdar the strongest, and I am very interested in getting you lynched, what do you say?
Orangepenguin, it is time you chirp in. You have contributed near to nothing so far, and this is even more unacceptable because you are an IC.
You are the second on my scumlist, I would not be unhappy to get you lynched either. Who do you think is scum?
Concerning Mastin, I think it is a dead tree. At this point he could as easily be scum than town. An investigation should clear the matter.-
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You know, your 'tunnelvision bit' and 'are you really that convinced' question is pinging some, because you do know my alignment in C9++.Scheherazade wrote:@springlullaby: I changed my tone because I think you were wrongly reading too much acquiescence in my other post.
As for lynching me, you want to do it because I broke a rule that wasn't a rule and my posts don't sound properly homogeneous. I think you're grasping. I know it's day one and therefore difficult to get a good read of any particular person, but you've had tunnelvision this entire game. Your suspicion started exactly two pages in. Are you really that convinced?
But to answer you, I actually like how you explained the change in your tone.
Unvote: Sheherazade.
I'm closing the chapter on the investigation of Mastin comment. I said what I said, people can interpret it as they want. I do believe that discussion around Mastin is futile.
I'm mixed about mrfixij, he does seem to be jumping around a bit but what works for him is that he is pretty vocal, and there is a kind of confident quality to his posts. In any case, mrfixij, I hope you know that you are ultimately responsible for your own vote, no excuse to it. What I note is that he has avoided the Panamon wagon all day, well demonstrating willingness to push for two other wagons.
I don't really like the wagon on Panamon, he hasn't posted a lot, and I'm not sure I understand the points against him. What do seem bizare is the total lack of post from QuestionMark, but I'm not sure that could be considered a scumtell.
SoProd: QuestionMark please
What I don't like is the insistent tone of Crysnia in calling Panamon scum.
Vote: Crysnia
Can you please to the best of your ability explain why you think Panamon is scum?-
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springlullaby Mafia Scum
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I'm not digging this, you seem to imply that the fact C9++ is still an ongoing game has a relevance here, it has not. Whether you are town or scum in that game, it doesn't bare you from the knowledge that I was town in it because I have already been cardflipped.Shez wrote:@springlullaby: I hoped that revisiting your remark to me in your last post would help me understand it. I'm afraid I don't quite follow. I don't want to seem like I'm ignoring a charge against me: would you mind explaining and in terms that don't rely on an ongoing game?
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BM, what do you think of Crysnia? I think she has a pretty high chance of being scum, you?
Btw, I've played two game with you, and you have so far caused my death twice, once as scum opposing town you in R-1000, another time in Nice Shot in which I was your scumbuddy. Welcome.
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Crysnia, where are your suspicions now?
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I dig mrfixij at the moment, the only bemol I see is a possible connection between him and BM: avoiding the Panamon wagon while pushing for the other wagons at disposition, BM fast vote and unvote possible soft bussing.-
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springlullaby Mafia Scum
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Ah, the charm of newbie games. Lol, I just can't tell.Crysnia wrote:
Your statement makes no sense and has no bearing on this game. He could have been scum 100 times in a row and the chance of him being scum in this game would be the same as any other game.orangepenguin wrote:Haha..I have played two completed games with BM so far, and both those times, he was scum. I played a couple others were he wasn't scum, but he died. It was after day 3. Even though Stoofer's Law is likely a joke, BM isn't always scum, if he survives past day 3.
@Moses: I didn't bring it up because I didn't really see what you guys were talking about until someone asked me who was suspicious and I said fixij and the next post from spring is a vote for me.
Also it is very likely that I will be lynched today as you notice that Spring has taken to point the finger at me any chance she gets. So I am pretty much resigned to letting you guys lynch me. Yes, very anti-town behavior but nothing I have said nor say seems to be helpful. I was asked who I thought was suspicious. I gave an answer and BAM I'm scum and attacked because I answered without "proof." It is the first day and we never have proof on the first day but someone has to be lynched, right?-
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Why should I back you up?
It has always been my view that Panamon didn't break the rule at all. Schez did. It was entirely up to Schez to say 'sorry that goes into no-no territory', and that would have been the end of it.
I agree with BM on this point.
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Other dudes voting people, what do you think of BM?-
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springlullaby Mafia Scum
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Not that it was addressed to me, rulebreaking is a possible scumtell in my books because scum generally feel more under pressure to perform and prove that they are town.
I don't think ad hominem is an applicable scumtell for BM, from past game iirc he likes to be prickly when he is town too. But I don't like his case on Moses because I don't think his 'he is trying to discredit me' sounds like scum.
That said, Crysnia's claim was very bad - you don't claim vanilla when you are not under the hammer, period - and I don't like her last post either: tell me why do you think people who are 'leading your lynch' are automatically scummy?
Btw, I'm kinda surprised BM didn't pick on this.
I feel really comfortable with my Crysnia vote and I think people should consider it.-
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I owe this game so much, and am a bad bad IC.
At this point of the game, I feel totally disconnected, I'm giving this a reread. I've noticed while skimming over the last page that Crysnia's has been stepping up a bit, so I'd like to know what has come of her suspicion of me.
I totally do not like that last post from mrfixij but I'll let people answer for themselves.
I also do not like BM changing vote after vote, I remember town BM being more fixated and affirmative than that.
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WeatheredClown: (1/5) Battle Mage,
Crysnia: (1/5) springlullaby,
mrfixij: (0/5)
Alduskkel: (0/5)
Moses le fou: (1/5) orangepenguin,
Scheherazade: (0/5)
Battle Mage: (3/5) Scheherazade, Moses le fou, mrfixij,
springlullaby: (0/5)
orangepenguin: (1/5) Crysnia,
Not Voting: (2/9) WeatheredClown, Alduskkel,
With 9 alive, it's 5 to lynch!
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V/LA dec 20 to janv 2
I read thread often, post less often.
I have no good POV on this game. Too much WIFOM. Performance anxiety maybe.
BUT I've decided that OP is the most likely scum right now.
Day 1 was less than stellar, and his 577 feels way off.
I'm no longer sold on crynia scum, I think it is really her personality.
I don't like Alduskkel but last time I played with him, I was wrong in my read.
Vote OP-
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Yeah, I'm not being good IC.
To answer alduskkel - I'm not liking you because I think you are going for all the obvious textbook wagons.
CF-riot, the thing here is, I didn't like Schez' read at all, and found it different from the mini game in which we were both in. I unvoted her because I feared she might be blue, but now that cop and doc has both been claimed, she can't be.
And you see, I don't like your last post about doc either. Uncounterclaimed doc has still a better chance of not being scum.
In factVote CF-Riot
This one is sticking.-
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Tell me, can you prove mathematically that the odds of being town for any of the remaining player is greater than 50%? Then please do the maths proving that the chances for Moses to be town are not greater than everybody else, and I'll correct you.CF Riot wrote:I'm an excellent IC, and you should all give me cash monies and blood offerings to show your gratitude. (That was a joke, I'm not reallythatcocky.)
Spring:
This, and if you can mathematically or otherwise convince me thatRiot wrote:Also, what does this quote,
mean? I don't think it's suspicious, I just don't understand what it means.SL wrote: I've changed my mind about OP, his last post reads natural independently of content.
is valid, I'll be satisfied. I'm looking for something where the odds of being town are greater than 50%.Uncounterclaimed doc has still a better chance of not being scum.
I'm not sure why you are arguing this point.
1. If you are lobbying for an OP wagon, I think of all OP's fault, not wanting to lynch uncounterclaimed doc is not a damning one.
2. If your purpose is to convict Moses le Fou on the ground that he claimed doc, I think it is pretty scummy.-
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http://67.222.17.61/forum/viewtopic.php ... 80#1390580
This post smells like scum hardcore. It pins WC to textbook faults such as lack of logic, whereas what he said in his defense makes very much sense. The tone is off too, it reads as a justification of your vote as opposed to a conviction of a person's guilt. Then there is the 'Minor FOS', 'Regular FOS' thing, it reads too orderly for my taste.
Then you depicting Crysnia as an obvious wagon today is also off to me, because from my POV the wagon on her hinges on a judgement of character, which is the hardest call of all.-
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What question of yours haven't I answered to?CF Riot wrote:
Neither. Please stop trying to guess my intent and answer the questions I pose. You've ignored the first twice now, and didn't even attempt to answer the second even though you clearly read it.springlullaby wrote:Tell me, can you prove mathematically that the odds of being town for any of the remaining player is greater than 50%? Then please do the maths proving that the chances for Moses to be town are not greater than everybody else, and I'll correct you.
I'm not sure why you are arguing this point.
1. If you are lobbying for an OP wagon, I think of all OP's fault, not wanting to lynch uncounterclaimed doc is not a damning one.
2. If your purpose is to convict Moses le Fou on the ground that he claimed doc, I think it is pretty scummy.
I suppose 50% was the wrong number to use in my second request. What I'm trying to say is this. Can you prove to me that, given the circumstances of this game, claiming doctor changes the likelihood of a person being scumat all. My thinking is, there areonlytwo possibilities.- There is a doc. -> MLF is telling the truth.
There is no doc. -> MLF is lying, and most likely scum.
Next I consider the scenario in which there is no doc. Given that WC flipped before MLF was at claiming point, we can safely assume that the chance that any scum (MLF in this example) would attempt a fake-doc-claim when pressured is 100%. (If there are 2 goons, theyknowdoc is a safe-claim. Therefore, they have absolutelynoreason to claim vanilla instead of doc.)
Therefore, since the probability that a doc claim will be truthful is at 50%, I consider a person claiming doc to change the probability of them being scum by 0%.
Do you understand what I'm saying?-
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1. It means that I've decided he reads town.CF Riot wrote:
What does this mean?I've changed my mind about OP, his last post reads natural independently of content.
Can you back this up at all?Uncounterclaimed doc has still a better chance of not being scum.
2. Actually I can't and you are right in that he doc claim changes nothing.
I'm pretty sure I moved my vote to CF riot somwhere but no matter.
Unvote, vote CF Riot.Sticking to my gut on Schez.
That's L-1-
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Pressure voting = very scummy in my books.
There is no such things as pressure vote because if you are town, any time you vote, you must be voting for the one person you think is the likeliest scum. Which means that you should be willing for your vote to go to a lynch.
I'm certainly not trying 'pressure voting' any time soon.-
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Yup it has.
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Page 31 Votecount
mrfixij: (1/4) Alduskkel,
Alduskkel: (0/4)
Moses le fou: (1/4) CF Riot,
CF Riot: (2/4) orangepenguin, springlullaby,
Battle Mage: (0/4)
springlullaby: (0/4)
orangepenguin: (2/4) Moses le fou, Battle Mage,
Not Voting: (1/7) mrfixij,
With 7 alive, it's 4 to lynch!
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Retractable deadline for Friday 23 January at 6:30 pm GMT+10.
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springlullaby Mafia Scum
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Lol, still scummy Aldi baby. For considering a lynch based on my guts. Because, for starters, how do you know I'm not scum?Alduskkel wrote:
Because your gut had been accurate before, but as I said you were employing a fallacy.springlullaby wrote:
Seriously, is no one beside me noting the holycowscumminess of the above?Alduskkel wrote:Hmm. I might vote for CF Riot, but I'd like to wait for him to defend himself before putting him at L-1.
Tell me Aldi, can you explain why you started considering voting CF all of sudden in the post above?
Also, driving away Crysnia and Mastin is nothing to be proud of.
OP, shut up, according to Rule 5 you're not allowed to talk at all.
Finally, this game does not suck.-
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springlullaby Mafia Scum
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Nuh nuh nuh, I admit to nothing, sir. :pAlduskkel wrote:
So you admit that your gut is bad? Why did you vote for CF Riot at all then?springlullaby wrote:
Lol, still scummy Aldi baby. For considering a lynch based on my guts. Because, for starters, how do you know I'm not scum?Alduskkel wrote:
Because your gut had been accurate before, but as I said you were employing a fallacy.springlullaby wrote:
Seriously, is no one beside me noting the holycowscumminess of the above?Alduskkel wrote:Hmm. I might vote for CF Riot, but I'd like to wait for him to defend himself before putting him at L-1.
Tell me Aldi, can you explain why you started considering voting CF all of sudden in the post above?
Also, driving away Crysnia and Mastin is nothing to be proud of.
OP, shut up, according to Rule 5 you're not allowed to talk at all.
Finally, this game does not suck.
Aldi-Al, that's not how it works. However delicious and divine my guts may be, town you isn't likely to consider a lynch based on them, especially since you have been seemingly suspicious of me all day, since town you doesn't know whether I'm scum.
And for your information, my guts is exquisite, but it is also my prerogative to change my mind anytime I wish.-
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Vote Alduskkel
I'm putting my all my marbles on this one. See yesterday twilight conversation.
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Page 34 Votecount
mrfixij: (0/4)
Alduskkel: (1/4) springlullaby
Moses le fou: (0/4)
CF Riot: (0/4)
Battle Mage: (0/4)
springlullaby: (0/4)
Not Voting: (5/6) mrfixij, Alduskkel, Moses le fou, CF Riot, Battle Mage,
With 6 alive, it's 4 to lynch!
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